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MARC Ratings publishes 2025 Annual Corporate Default and Ratings Transition Study

MARC Ratings today published its 2025 Annual Corporate Default and Ratings Transition Study, which tracks corporate ratings assigned by the rating agency since its inception in 1996 through 2025. In 2025, MARC Ratings’ corporate portfolio maintained its record of zero defaults, marking the third consecutive year without any defaults. This reflects MARC Ratings’ portfolio strength, […]

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Monthly Review: Advance estimates signal strong start, but war-driven risks mount

Malaysia entered 2026 on a firm footing, with advance estimates placing 1Q2026 gross domestic product (GDP) growth at 5.3% (1Q2025: 4.4%; 4Q2025: 6.3%), supported by resilient domestic demand and a sustained manufacturing upcycle. Services expanded by 5.4%, underpinned by consumer spending, while manufacturing accelerated to 5.8% on continued strength in the electrical and electronics (E&E)

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Monthly Review: Central banks review policies amid war-driven inflation

The ongoing conflict in the Middle East has led to spillover effects beyond oil price fluctuations, increasing pressure on global supply chains. In March, Brent crude oil prices surged to approximately USD99 per barrel, a significant rise compared to the average of USD69 per barrel recorded in February. Disruptions at the Strait of Hormuz, a

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Israel-US war on Iran: Economic and market implications

The year 2026 has thus far been defined by escalating geopolitical instability. Following US intervention in Venezuela and the capture of its president, a more systemic shock emerged. On 28 February, the US and Israel launched coordinated strikes against Iran, and Tehran retaliated with attacks on US military outposts across the Middle East. Hostilities remain

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Monthly Review: GDP outperformance fuels equity market

Malaysia’s economy closed 2025 on a strong note, with 4Q2025 gross domestic product (GDP) growing by 6.3%, surpassing the advance estimate of 5.7% (3Q2025 actual: 5.4%). This lifted the full-year growth in 2025 to 5.2%, matching 2024’s pace (2024: 5.1%). Moving into 2026, economic momentum is underpinned by firmer external demand and steady private consumption.

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Monthly Review: Malaysia’s growth exceeds expectations

Malaysia ended 2025 on a strong footing, with its 4Q2025 gross domestic product (GDP) advance estimate rising by 5.7%, bringing full-year growth to an estimated 4.9%, above consensus expectations. Growth in 4Q2025 was broad-based, led by services (5.4%; 3Q2025: 5.0%) and manufacturing (6.0%; 3Q2025: 4.1%) due to strong external demand for electrical and electronic (E&E)

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1H2026 Outlook: Global growth moderates, Malaysia maintains resilience

As the global economy enters 2026, growth is expected to moderate following a resilient 2025 in which major economies avoided recession, supported by strong services activity. However, structural constraints, including demographic pressures and tight labour markets, are set to weigh more heavily on momentum. Against this backdrop, the global economy is projected to transition into

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Monthly Review: Foreign bond bid firms on ringgit strength and resilient domestic fundamentals

Malaysia’s external sector remains on a firm trajectory, with exports expanding by 7.0% in November (Oct: 15.7%). Growth was supported by resilient demand for electrical and electronic (E&E) products at 15.0% (Oct: 26.5%) alongside a recovery in petroleum exports. Performance among trading partners also remained robust, with shipments to China accelerating to 9.3% (Oct: 7.5%),

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MARC Ratings: Crude palm oil price to soften in 2026

The crude palm oil (CPO) market is expected to enter 2026 with a softer outlook, following the relatively elevated prices recorded in 2025. MARC Ratings projects prices to range between RM3,850 per metric tonne (MT) and RM4,250/MT in 2026 (2025F: RM4,300/MT). The softer trajectory is underpinned by more favourable weather patterns, recovering yields, and a

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Monthly Review: Resilient domestic fundamentals anchor ringgit’s regional outperformance

Malaysia’s full-year gross domestic product (GDP) growth is on track to reach the upper end of Bank Negara Malaysia’s (BNM) projection of 4.0%–4.8%, supported by stronger 3Q2025 GDP which expanded by 5.2% after two consecutive quarters of registering a 4.4% growth. Reflecting this acceleration, market consensus has revised its 2025 GDP growth forecast upwards to

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