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2H2025 Outlook: Growth to moderate amid trade risks and policy uncertainty

Global economic growth is expected to moderate in 2H2025 as trade tensions and geopolitical risks weigh on sentiment. The US’ sweeping tariffs have reignited protectionist concerns, contributing to slower global growth. The US economy contracted by 0.2% in 1Q2025, with the Purchasing Managers’ Index for both manufacturing and services falling below the neutral 50 mark …

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Monthly Review: First foreign equity inflow in months signals a turnaround in risk appetite

Headline inflation moderated to 1.2% in May (Apr: 1.4%), driven by slower price increases in food and beverages as well as housing, water, electricity and gas, while prices in the transportation sector remained unchanged from April. Although the upcoming implementation of the 8% Sales and Services Tax (SST) on 1 July may add modest price …

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Monthly Review: Malaysia’s bond inflows surge, equity outflows ease

Malaysia’s gross domestic product (GDP) growth moderated to 4.4% in 1Q2025 (4Q2024: 5.0%), but remained supported by the services (5.0%), manufacturing (4.1%), and construction (14.2%) sectors. Exports surged by 16.4% in April (Mar: 6.8%), led by electrical and electronics as well as machinery exports, reflecting the front-loading of trade activities after the 90-day tariff pause …

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Monthly Review: Tariff tensions drive flight to safety, fuelling bond inflows

Malaysia’s economy is anticipated to grow by 4.4% in 1Q2025, easing from 5.0% in the previous quarter due to weaker mining and manufacturing output, although domestic demand as well as the services and construction sectors remained resilient. Inflation stayed subdued at 1.4% in March, but upside risks may arise from the recently implemented minimum wage …

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Monthly Review: Signs of more dovish monetary policy

The ringgit remained relatively stable in March, supported by expectations of narrowing interest rate differentials between Malaysia and the US. Notably, the Federal Reserve (Fed) announced a slowdown in the pace of its balance sheet reduction. Consequently, the ringgit has traded within a stable range, bolstered by Malaysia’s resilient economic fundamentals and steady investor confidence. …

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Monthly Review: Malaysia prints strong 2024 GDP growth amid global trade war

Malaysia’s 4Q2024 gross domestic product (GDP) exceeded the advance estimate, bringing the full year 2024 GDP growth to 5.1%. The growth is within the official projection and MARC Ratings’ forecast. The continued expansion of the services sector underscores the resilience of private consumption, which remained a key growth driver, alongside strong external demand. Demand for …

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Monthly Review: Malaysia sustains growth amid hawkish US policy

Malaysia’s 2024 GDP advance estimate read 5.1%, within the official projection and MARC Ratings’ forecast. This sustained growth was primarily driven by robust domestic demand, including strong consumer spending, and a resilient services sector. Overall business activity remained healthy, supported by a sharp 16.9% rise in exports in December. The strong overall exports, despite a …

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2025 Macroeconomic Outlook: Growth to sustain amid monetary easing and protectionism

Global economic growth is expected to sustain, given the continuation of monetary easing policies despite the heightened level of trade protectionism. Global growth will be supported by the US economy which appears resilient, outperforming earlier projections of recession and hard landing, largely due to a robust services sector. This sector, buoyed by job creation policies, …

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