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Summary Global economic growth is expected to sustain a moderate level in 2024. Growth forecasts for advanced European economies remain relatively stable despite lingering weaknesses. The strength of the US economy may moderate the pace of policy rate cuts, potentially leading to a less synchronised global monetary policy easing, as some central banks in Europe …
Summary Malaysia’s 1Q2024 gross domestic product (GDP) expanded to 4.2%, higher than the advanced estimate of 3.9% (4Q2023: 3.0%) on the faster expansion in the services sectors at 4.7% (advanced estimate: 4.4%, 4Q2023: 4.1%). The manufacturing sector registered a 1.9% rebound after two quarters of contraction, while growth in the construction sector accelerated to 11.9% …
Bond market on firmer footing – May 2024 – Summary Read More »
Summary Malaysia’s economy picked up by 3.9% in 1Q2024 (4Q2023: 3.0%) based on the advanced estimate, close to the official 2024 full-year gross domestic product (GDP) forecast of 4%-5%. The manufacturing sector registered a 1.9% rebound after two quarters of contraction, while growth in the construction sector accelerated to 9.8% (4Q2023: 3.5%). The Malaysian Government …
Early signs of interest rate outlook divergence – April 2024 – Summary Read More »
Summary Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) projects the domestic economy to grow between 4% and 5% in 2024, aligning with the government’s estimate while highlighting a potential rebound in the manufacturing sector and a newly forecast contraction in the agricultural sector. Year-to-date exports grew by 3.9% in February, with an 11.0% increase in exports to the …
Market adjusts to delay in rate cuts – March 2024 – Summary Read More »
Summary In 2023, MARC Ratings’ corporate portfolio recorded four rating downgrades and three upgrades, an increase compared to the preceding year, where two downgrades and two upgrades were recorded. Meanwhile, there was no rating default in 2023, in contrast to the two rating defaults in 2022. This led to an improved rating drift at -1.1% …
2023 Annual Corporate Default and Ratings Transition Study Read More »
MARC Ratings today published its 2023 Annual Corporate Default and Ratings Transition Study which tracks corporate ratings assigned by the rating agency since its inception in 1996 through 2023. In 2023, MARC Ratings’ corporate portfolio recorded four rating downgrades and three upgrades, compared to two downgrades and two upgrades in the preceding year. Hence, the …
MARC Ratings publishes 2023 annual corporate default and ratings transition study Read More »
Summary Malaysia registered a weaker-than-expected gross domestic product (GDP) growth of 3.0% in 4Q2023 (advanced estimate: 3.4%; 3Q2023: 3.3%) as growth in the services sector moderated while that in the manufacturing sector remained tepid, bringing the full-year GDP growth to 3.7%. We forecast a firmer growth of 4.2% in 2024 on an anticipated recovery in …
Bond sell-off on resilient US economy – February 2024 – Summary Read More »
Summary Malaysia posted a weaker-than-expected advanced gross domestic product (GDP) estimate of 3.4% as at 4Q2023 (Consensus: 4.1%; 3Q2023: 3.3%) as the services sector moderated and the manufacturing sector remained flat, which will bring the advanced estimate full year GDP growth to 3.8%, based on the advanced estimate. A stronger rebound in tourism and recovery …
Rate cut pushback leading to bond sell-off – January 2024 – Summary Read More »