Research & Analysis

Summary  The latest retail and exports data suggest that a slower domestic economy in 2Q2023 is imminent given the anticipated slowdown in the global economy. On the bond market, while MGS commands positive yield differentials with the UST, the spread has narrowed significantly since 2022. The continuing divergence of interest rate policy between Malaysia and […]

Global Bond Markets Global government bonds traded mixed in May. The UST market came under selling pressure in May as investors monitored the progress of the US debt negotiations and assessed the Fed’s interest rate policy going forward. In Europe, the bund ended mostly firmer in May, with yields mostly declining on softer European inflation

Global Bond Markets Global government bonds traded mixed in April. The UST yields largely declined on rising anticipation that the Fed’s rate hike cycle may end soon as inflation continued to moderate. Meanwhile in Europe, the longer-tenure 30-year bund yield rose as the market expected higher interest rate for longer to contain the elevated inflationary

Global Bond Markets Global government bonds saw risk-off rallies in March amid the banking sector turmoil in the US and Europe. As a result, bond yields mostly declined across the curve. Going forward, major central banks are likely to continue focusing on striking a balance between containing elevated inflation on the one hand and rising

Global Bond Markets Global government bonds mostly came under selling pressure in February on the growing possibility of “higher for longer” interest rate policy. This is not surprising given that inflation on both sides of the Atlantic continue to hover more than two times above major central banks’ 2% target. Meanwhile in China, bonds traded