Research & Analysis

Strong momentum in Malaysia’s growth trajectory – July 2024 – Summary

Summary The advance gross domestic product (GDP) estimate for Malaysia was positive, pointing to the economy’s better-than-expected performance in 2Q2024. The services sector continued to be robust on the back of sustained growth in private consumption, while previously laggard sectors such as agriculture improved. We have revised our 2024 GDP forecast upwards to 4.8% from

Strong momentum in Malaysia’s growth trajectory – July 2024 – Summary Read More »

Broad bond rally gains momentum – June 2024 – Summary

Summary Recent economic data for Malaysia has been positive, pointing to a firm start for the economy in 2Q2024. Wholesale & retail trade was resilient, with growth accelerating to 7.5% in April (1Q2024: 2.3%), consistent with the higher domestic-oriented production growth for the month. On the external sector, Malaysia’s exports posted strong growth of 7.3%

Broad bond rally gains momentum – June 2024 – Summary Read More »

Mid-Year Macroeconomic Outlook 2024: Stable global growth in a moderate easing cycle – Summary

Summary  Global economic growth is expected to sustain a moderate level in 2024. Growth forecasts for advanced European economies remain relatively stable despite lingering weaknesses. The strength of the US economy may moderate the pace of policy rate cuts, potentially leading to a less synchronised global monetary policy easing, as some central banks in Europe

Mid-Year Macroeconomic Outlook 2024: Stable global growth in a moderate easing cycle – Summary Read More »

Bond market on firmer footing – May 2024 – Summary

Summary Malaysia’s 1Q2024 gross domestic product (GDP) expanded to 4.2%, higher than the advanced estimate of 3.9% (4Q2023: 3.0%) on the faster expansion in the services sectors at 4.7% (advanced estimate: 4.4%, 4Q2023: 4.1%). The manufacturing sector registered a 1.9% rebound after two quarters of contraction, while growth in the construction sector accelerated to 11.9%

Bond market on firmer footing – May 2024 – Summary Read More »

Early signs of interest rate outlook divergence – April 2024 – Summary

Summary Malaysia’s economy picked up by 3.9% in 1Q2024 (4Q2023: 3.0%) based on the advanced estimate, close to the official 2024 full-year gross domestic product (GDP) forecast of 4%-5%. The manufacturing sector registered a 1.9% rebound after two quarters of contraction, while growth in the construction sector accelerated to 9.8% (4Q2023: 3.5%). The Malaysian Government

Early signs of interest rate outlook divergence – April 2024 – Summary Read More »

Market adjusts to delay in rate cuts – March 2024 – Summary

Summary Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) projects the domestic economy to grow between 4% and 5% in 2024, aligning with the government’s estimate while highlighting a potential rebound in the manufacturing sector and a newly forecast contraction in the agricultural sector. Year-to-date exports grew by 3.9% in February, with an 11.0% increase in exports to the

Market adjusts to delay in rate cuts – March 2024 – Summary Read More »