Research & Analysis

Caution in bond markets; confidence in domestic prospects – October 2024 – Summary

Summary   Following the 50-basis point US rate cut on September 18, subsequent releases of strong economic data and limited signs of easing inflation in the US have driven yields higher across all bond markets. This has prompted a reassessment of the US rate cut trajectory, where current market expectations indicate only one to two more […]

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US rate cut sustains foreign inflows – September 2024 – Summary

Summary Malaysia’s 3Q2024 gross domestic product (GDP) is set for stronger growth, driven by robust external demand and a continued recovery in tourism. In August, export growth remained solid at 12.1% (July: 12.3%), supported by increasing demand across the manufacturing subsectors. Meanwhile, the tourism sector, which has been steadily recovering, is expected to gain further

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Optimism resurfaces, markets poised for anticipated US rate cuts – August 2024 – Summary

Summary Malaysia’s gross domestic product (GDP) expanded by 5.9% in 2Q2024, surpassing the advance estimate of 5.8% (1Q2024: 4.2%). The acceleration in household spending and sustained strong double-digit growth in gross fixed capital formation were key drivers. Exports surged by 12.3% in July (June: 1.7%), driven by a broad-based increase in manufacturing exports. In July,

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Strong momentum in Malaysia’s growth trajectory – July 2024 – Summary

Summary The advance gross domestic product (GDP) estimate for Malaysia was positive, pointing to the economy’s better-than-expected performance in 2Q2024. The services sector continued to be robust on the back of sustained growth in private consumption, while previously laggard sectors such as agriculture improved. We have revised our 2024 GDP forecast upwards to 4.8% from

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Broad bond rally gains momentum – June 2024 – Summary

Summary Recent economic data for Malaysia has been positive, pointing to a firm start for the economy in 2Q2024. Wholesale & retail trade was resilient, with growth accelerating to 7.5% in April (1Q2024: 2.3%), consistent with the higher domestic-oriented production growth for the month. On the external sector, Malaysia’s exports posted strong growth of 7.3%

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Mid-Year Macroeconomic Outlook 2024: Stable global growth in a moderate easing cycle – Summary

Summary  Global economic growth is expected to sustain a moderate level in 2024. Growth forecasts for advanced European economies remain relatively stable despite lingering weaknesses. The strength of the US economy may moderate the pace of policy rate cuts, potentially leading to a less synchronised global monetary policy easing, as some central banks in Europe

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