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Bond Market Updates

Tariff tensions drive flight to safety, fuelling bond inflows – April 2025 – Summary

2 May 2025

View Report

Summary

  • Malaysia’s economy is expected to grow by 4.4% in 1Q2025, although moderating from 5.0% in the previous quarter. The growth in the first quarter was attributable to resilient domestic demand and construction activity that offset weaker performance in mining and manufacturing.
  • The ringgit rebounded in April after initially weakening on tariff-related fears, supported by the 90-day pause in US tariffs and a broader lift in emerging market currencies on improved investor sentiment.
  • Yields of Malaysian Government Securities (MGS) declined in April, led by a bull-steepening curve, with medium-term yields falling 12 to 15 basis points (bps), as monetary easing expectations gained traction.
  • Equity markets saw net outflows of -RM4.7 billion in March as investors trimmed exposure amid rising geopolitical tensions and trade-related uncertainty, while bond markets recorded RM2.8 billion in net inflows, reflecting a shift toward safe-haven assets.
  • Secondary bond market activity eased in April, with volumes falling across most segments, indicating cautious investor positioning amid global uncertainty.

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Malaysia prints strong 2024 GDP growth amid global trade war – February 2025 – Summary

4 March 2025

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